#1123 – Dick Bernard: A Culture of Sanctioned Disrespect

As I write, the polls remain open for several more hours in New York state’s Primary election, with endless analyses of what it all might mean….
A few hours ago I had occasion to be in downtown Minneapolis to deliver something to the Canadian Consulate at 7th Street and 4th Ave S, across the street from the Hennepin County Government Center.
A block from my destination this billboard was impossible to miss:
(click to enlarge)

On 7th Street, Minneapolis MN, Apr 19, 2016

On 7th Street, Minneapolis MN, Apr 19, 2016


One is left to speculate why only Hillary and Trump are mentioned; why the first name for one and last name for the other, respectively. Why the other candidates are left off. It all has meaning to the massive car dealer for whatever reason. It obviously is not considered bad for business, and there is no intention for informed argument in the ads: just single word labels. The reader can fill in the blank with other words. It’s so American.
One of the candidates, in recent days, was “testing” the word “corrupt” as a one-word label of an opponent. It was just a test of a word, not a test of fact. It might be useful.
We are so proud of our democracy. Proud, I suppose, of our national ritual to attempt to destroy the opposition and then, later, to pretend that the previous conversation didn’t matter. So, in New York, Hillary and Bernie try to score points to “win” at the end of the day; as do Donald, John, Ted on the other side.
And much is then made of what it all might mean.
And tomorrow another round begins, this time in other northeast states.
The national culture of disrespect of our leaders, past and proposed, is not helpful. We are all losers.
I keep thinking back to that 25 years ago guy, Robert Fulghum, who published “All I ever Needed to Know I Learned in Kindergarten”
You can buy the book at his website.
It really isn’t necessary. Teachers still teach kindergarten the same way.
And sanctioned disrepect (bullying, name calling and the like) is universally condemned in school settings, while we look forward to combat in politics.
Our country, we all, need to take a look at ourselves.
COMMENTS:
from Joni, school Principal:
Thanks for sharing your latest blog post. I don’t think that I could have said it any better.
from Fred: Well said Dick. Indeed, this campaign is making us all losers.
from Dick: It will have to get much worse before it gets better…and by then we’ll be the “third world” country that we like to despise. I have come to believe we are a society of hopelessly addicted individualists who actually demand the theater that we seem to despise. As a result, we all lose. I could articulate many examples, just from my personal surroundings.
Frederick Douglass, the famous civil rights leader in 1857, the days which birthed Abraham Lincoln, said it well: “Power concedes nothing without a demand. It never did and it never will.” (in 8th para beginning “This struggle….”)
We voters possess all the power, but we do so as individuals, with individual demands, and as a result most choose to be powerless.
A big repetitive threat I see all the time is variations on the phrase: “If the right candidate isn’t nominated, I won’t vote for anybody” (or, alternatively, for someone who has no chance whatever) The speaker always declares this in a most powerful way, as if not voting at all will make a difference in his or her favor…. They might think there’s logic there, but the logic escapes me. They simply disenfranchise themselves, and increase the odds that the worst of their own personal options will be selected. So, on we go.
from Mary in New York: I appreciate the comments in the blog but I have certainly come to understand that we have some serious flaws that need addressing in our political process. It is quite interesting how tentative most candidates and elected officials have been in addressing some of the issues. I really wish that the blue collar billionaire and the frantic female in this contest could present their platforms for reform in a more palatable way. The crude X on the scrap of paper that defines the vote in some of the less developed parts of the world is looking better than the politically correct slander that currently defines the American Way.
Love the drama around being a New Yocker and wish you a good week.
from Dick 5 a.m. CDT, April 20: Many thanks.
I awoke to the same Just Above Sunset I read every day, to get a digest of sort about the national perspective. In this one he deals with the New York election, just about wrapped up (he seems to publish, usually, about midnight in Los Angeles. He’s like me, a retired guy. He’s a gifted writer, and he has credentials and, to my knowledge, like myself, expresses his own opinion through the comments he chooses to share, not bought and paid for by anyone. He just likes to write. For the interested reader, his is always an interesting read.)
It is no secret at all that I support Hillary Clinton. She’s the kind of person this country needs as a leader, as President. She’s far more than paid her dues, having to make numerous difficult decisions. (The root of that word “decision” is to kill off other options: think suicide, homicide, insecticide…. Leaders have to make tough decisions, all the time.)
I’ve just gone through a rough year of having to make endless decisions about stuff in a family estate with a lot of heirs. I’m the Trustee of a Trust. It is a very small deal compared with state, national, international policy questions, but rest assured every decision has been preceded by a number of choices, each one of which might be preferred by someone or other, every one which could have been “wrong”, and perhaps a bad mistake. Somebody could, I’m sure, find some grounds to sue me for something or other I did “wrong”, in their view. I was willing to take on the task (as a candidate agrees to stand for election); sometimes I wondered why…and closing the Estate still isn’t quite complete.
I emphasize, I’m not complaining.
This is just a reality faced every day by everyone faced with an array of possible choices, with differences of opinions. Government is no different, only much more difficult, in the case of US, the U.S., over 320,000,000 people in a world of over 7 billion.
No different, just a lot tougher.
from Norm, 10 a.m. Apr 20: Right on with your observations about our apparent need to tear down our political leaders and candidates. It appears to be something ingrained in us and something that we cannot avoid doing.
As a son of a long-time elected public official, i.e. Minnesota state senate, I learned early on that the public views such folks with a mixed bag of characterizations from very effective to does nothing to he/she is not responsive or he/she is in the pocket of or he/she has been in too long (folks quickly forget that Minnesota does have term limits and that they are called elections!) or we thought that he/she really was “on our side” but once he/she got in office, he/she (fill in the blanks).
A good example comes to mind of that mixed bag of characterizations noted above. I can remember an Obama supporter who was an avid supporter of his in 2008 who was convinced that once in office, the new president would set things straight and change the course from evil to good.
Less than three months after Obama was given the keys to the house on Pennsylvania Avenue, she loudly proclaimed her disappointment over the new president and his failure to do everything that he had promised. So, in less that three months, he had gone from being the proclaimed savior of the country to an abject failure in the eyes of his former supporter.
I don’t know if she seriously thought that the new president could just wave a magic wand and everything would be back on course or what but…
from Dick, 24 hours later…in the aftermath of New York
A day ago – 4 p.m. on April 19, New York Primary day – I posted about one aspect of the New York Primary Election. It, along with several comments, is “above the fold”.
The Republican National Convention is July 21-28 in Cleveland (Quicken Loans Arena); the Democrat gathering July 25-28 in Philadelphia (Wells Fargo Center).
Three months is a long, long time in politics. Election Day, November 8 is over six months out. That is a near lifetime. Still we’ll be treated to minute-by-minute play-by-play between now and then.
There is some entertainment value in all of this. Quicken and Wells Fargo bought the naming rights to these local civic institutions. They have lots and lots of money.
Yesterday while taking the photo of the billboard, I happened to notice another interesting piece of signage on the east edge of downtown at another almost complete arena, the place where the Minnesota Vikings will soon play. Here it is:
(click to enlarge)
Minneapolis April 19, 2016

Minneapolis April 19, 2016


Of course, locals will recognize this place, missing part of the name, a bank with lots and lots of money.
For the moment, I’ll allow that bank, owner of the name of the new football stadium, to go unrecognized. Everything is a billboard for hire these days, and as bank robber Willy Sutton liked to say, “that’s where the money is”.
But I digress. Politics is serious business.
Yesterday in New York will be spun as it will be spun by the parties and the surrounding chattering class.
I am guessing there are lots of earnest conversations going on within the power actors ‘as we speak’ about what New York means.
I’ll give my opinion as much credence as anyone else.
My take:
The Republican Party as very broadly defined has been hard at work for many years to essentially make Democrats like myself irrelevant, hoping to take control of the three branches of government and governorships and state legislatures.
It has been remarkably effective.
But Tuesday sort of signifies a wakeup call for the bunch going to Cleveland in July.
A carefully nurtured base wants Donald Trump as the Republican candidate for President; Republican insiders are in a quandary, they despise Trump. Contender Ted Cruz came in third, so much for his invincibility. Ted Cruz is also despised by the Republican power-structure, or so we hear. He’s second choice of the Republican electors.
Kasich seems to be going nowhere fast. Paul Ryan, I still think, will be the “fair-haired boy”, the “Knight in Shining Armor” before this is all over.
As for Hillary, for years, the same Republican apparatus has been actively working to destroy Hillary Clinton by any means at their disposal. Secretary Clinton fixes this at the last 25 years, which would ring true, as her husband became President in 1991, and she became an activist First Lady, and she was despised. Remember her efforts at Health Care Reform back in the early days of the Bill Clinton administration? Remember how that went over? Remember the “Harry and Louise” ads financed by the Health Insurance Industry?
And then she earned positions of Senator from New York, and Secretary of State, which required her to make endless tough decisions. That contributed to the opportunity for effective hate messages. She couldn’t do everything everybody wanted. As an elected representative you represent a broad constituency with many needs and beliefs. She represented a state, then a country….
Give anyone of us 25 years of hate-messages from someone and consider the effects that it would have (go to snopes.com sometime and put hillary clinton in the search box…. No matter how decent we could be shown to be, people tend to gravitate towards the down and dirty, nasty, narratives especially about other people.
Hate speech works.
Long ago George Orwell in 1984 hi-lited what he called the “the two minute hate” (or something like that), which kept the Proles energized against an invisible enemy.
Hate messages are nothing new….
Keep that in mind, as you assess the real Hillary Clinton (as opposed to the one manufactured by her opposition).
April 21: This mornings Just Above Sunset (April 20) does another good job of capsulizing the events in New York on Tuesday.
What it all means depends on who does the interpreting. As Fox News liked to say, “we report, you decide”.

#1120 – Dick Bernard: God for President (or, in the alternative….)

Today is primary election day in Wisconsin. As per custom, I write before the first vote has been officially counted; at about the time the polls open.
Some weeks ago I was on a busy street here in Woodbury, waiting to make a left turn enroute home.
Crossing at the light was a guy carrying a large hand-written cardboard sign reading, as I recall,
Vote for
God
in the
U.S. Presidential Election

Interesting thought.
Certainly, the man knew what God’s platform was, otherwise, why would he be holding up his sign? When in doubt, perfection is the gold-standard, which God must certainly represent….
The problem, of course, in this society of individuals, which the U.S. is, there are many differing definitions of God, including positions on the issues of the day. There are numerous “Christian” denominations; and Jews and Moslems recognize presumably the exact same God as well. We are all of the same family of belief. But we fight wars in God’s name.
But mostly God is as we define the deity; God is our own individual construct.
Thus the man and his cardboard sign. (He had no illustration of what he thought God looked like…that, too, would have been interesting.)
I happen to spend a lot of time in my Church, which is recognized by most as a Christian denomination.
To my knowledge, God hasn’t laid out his platform at my Church, though I admit we were out of town on Easter, when the new Archbishop was celebrant/homilist. At any rate, my guess is that the new guy would be the last one to declare himself as God among us. He simply has a bit more public persona than the rest of us in the pews; the new chief spokesperson for the organization which is the Catholic Church in Minnesota.
So it goes as we enter the heavy-duty political season.
My preferred candidate for President is Hillary Clinton, (which draws literal or figurative gasps from Bernie and Donald and Ted (and John and Paul) fans alike). My position really hasn’t changed since I supported her in the 2008 Primary Season.
For the most difficult job in the world, she is by far the most eminently qualified, in my opinion.
Opinions differ. So be it.
Of course, we are all bombarded with claims, charges, counter-claims, and the heavy duty campaign season has not yet even begun.
But for starters I offer two items, one from an e-mail from a friend back in December; another from the Minneapolis Star Tribune in March, both from the respected Politifact.com, a group which tries to keep ahead of the assortment of pitches we political consumers are bombarded with.
I’ll let the illustrations speak for themselves.
(The first ranks the then-candidates in descending order, most False claims first; the second does the same, by True claims first. Note Hillary Clinton in both illustrations.
Certainly, you can say, “yah, but….” But remember we’re not in a carnival, we’re selecting our leaders at all levels for the exceedingly difficult job of finding some persons who must stand in for god, and make some pretty tough decisions.
(click to enlarge the illustrations)

Politifact, in the Dec. 11, 2015 New York Times

Politifact, in the Dec. 11, 2015 New York Times


Politifact March 19, 2016 Minneapolis Star Tribune

Politifact March 19, 2016 Minneapolis Star Tribune


POSTNOTE: There is, of course, a contemporary reality problem in our society, and I think it is far worse in our society than in most societies, including the so-called “developed” world: “Truth” has come to be whatever our “Belief” says it is. “Fact” is less relevant, if relevant at all. This problem cuts across all ideological lines. We choose who or what to believe.
Political strategists know this.
Sooner or later the truth outs, and it seems most always to come down to facts, which people knew at the start, but denied.
Caveat Emptor.
COMMENTS:
from Larry: Well stated observations, Dick. I’m with you re Hillary being the only one with the necessary experience…and all of those “investigations” are garbage..for decades there has been no proof, only smear. The only candidate worth even considering on the Republican side is John Kasich. However, the T party gang and the hard core GOP right claims he’s “too centrist…he gets along with both sides…etc.” That’s more of what we need in a President, of course, and Hillary has what Kasich has but in spades. Some Republicans say they “can’t trust” Hillary. Well, I certainly trust her with her emails far more than Donald Trump with the nuclear codes or Ted Cruz with my Medicare.
from Fred: Enjoyed your post but think you should rely upon comedian/commentator Stephen Colbert’s more accurate veracity scale. For assessing the political speech, he created the “truthiness factor” (essentially if it sounds right to me it’s the truth) a few campaigns ago. On Colbert’s generous scale, I believe both Trump and Cruz would jump several percentage points.
from another Larry: [I] worked in Ohio for three years while Kasich was Governor. In my role as Executive Director of a state teachers union, Ohio Education Association, I even met with him (along with the organization President) for over an hour. He has a knack for sounding reasonable but then acting out in a very, very extreme conservative way. Not as extreme as Cruz but that is NOT a good standard to use to make judgments.
Here is a report that details what Kasich has done as Governor in Ohio. As I am sure you know he is NOT a moderate by any standard EXCEPT when compared to the extremism of Cruz and the ignorance of Trump. Maybe your friends would find the report of interest.
[He] essentially came into office and cut income taxes dramatically and then balanced the state budget by cutting education funding at all levels and cutting aid to other local units of government forcing them to cut services and to raise local taxes. He is not a budget whiz-he is a classic ultra conservative who showers the rich (and corporations) with tax cuts and then sticks it to everybody else.
Hope this is useful.
from Norm: For what it is worth, and in spite of so many folks saying that they “would be okay with Kasich”, I have heard many with the same concerns about him as those expressed by the second Larry.
Just another good example of perception being reality to many folks not unlike those who used to think that old [U.S. Sen.] Dave Durenberger was a good old liberal Republican as compared to Plywood Minnesota Rudy who was seen as so much more conservative.
As I recall, their voting records were darn near identical and both very conservative!
Image marketing and all of that!
Rep. Paulsen is very good at that as well image marketing himself as a savior of Minnesota jobs by hammering away on trying to eliminate the tax on durable medical supplies (DME as they are referred to). Unfortunately, Paulsen has been successful in getting Sen. Klobuchar and Sen. Franken to buy into his silliness about “protecting” Minnesota jobs thereby assuring the DME providers of very large profits…and thereby throwing out some of the funding mechanism for Obamacare.
Again, just good image marketing and all of that!
It has been extremely disappointing to me that Klobuchar and Franken have so readily and so easily bought into Paulsen’s crap regarding the tax on DME’s[?]!
Response from Norm re query about DME: DME stands for durable medical equipment which was taxed under the ACA as one of the sources for funding that law.
It is an area that is generally quite lucrative for its providers and, in my view at least, should be taxed to support the ACA that they will benefit from as well.
My on-going irritation is with folks like Paulsen or Kline is that they are able to successfully grab on to good non-partisan sounding positions of issues that seemingly affect lots of their constituents even when upon closer review, many of those positions are not at all favorable to most of the folks in their districts.
from Gaucho: This fall I am running for another term as Supervisor on the board of [a water] Conservation District. In that role I have spent a little time lobbying at the Capitol and now need to do some at the county level. I believe water will be perhaps one of the largest issues the country will face in the next 50 years. I have enjoyed my first term.
Thoughts on the “God for President” sign from an atheist. I think overall religion in kindly moderation can be a good thing for a country and world. The problem always arises by its evangelist members or other members use its name as a motivation or justification to cause others to suffer.
IMHO I sit back, laugh, and shake my head watching what is occurring in the US society. Actual Christianity is being destroyed from within. Preachers flying around in their own private jets, Christian professing elected officials not wanting to assist the poor, helpless, suffering, sick, hungry and the children. The so called professed “Christian” masses cheering them on. These people are coming from the mega churches, the small congregations that have split off, as well as the established churches.
This segment of the population will send their children on a “feel good” mission as a merit badge of accomplishment. They just don’t get it! They are concerned and frightened of Sharia law yet want to establish its Christian counterpart here in the US. They want to send “boots on the ground” many places yet are not willing to provide for the soldiers when they return.
From an outsider looking at this mess it is both humorous and frightening. The US Christian churches and congregations have always been quite distinct from those of Europe. The Europeans are laughing at the US, the country where about half the population does not believe in evolution!
I wonder if US Christianity is going to be destroyed and really split into two separate belief systems. The fearful, uneducated, noncritical thinkers along with some leaders who will continue to engage the “new Christian” belief system will be one system. The other system will be that of the older more stable churches and congregations who will actually believe in following the beliefs of their believed founder Jesus. Overall, I think US Christianity will lose quite a few of its followers,
This whole situation can be traced back to the loss of the middle and lower middle classes in the US. Between big business has become more and more powerful, unions becoming more and more powerful into the 1960’s winning contracts that on the short term worked but on the long term made manufacturing too costly in the US to compete in the world market,various restrictions being lifted, and trade pacts millions of middle class paying jobs were lost. Unskilled production workers were well established in the middle class. As these jobs vanished, as well as even the modest paying production jobs in other parts of the country there were no jobs to replace them even at a lower rate. The cotton industry completely left the US. A few years ago there was no cotton manufactured here.
Compound that with the mortgage fiasco which broke the spirit of many and further destroyed lives, the masses were ripe for the political clowns of Trump, Cruz, et al. The masses are united by fear. They are following leaders who espouse historical misinformation concerning the Constitution and an unChristianity interpretation of the religion. Some of the masses should know better and do know better but with this underlying fear they are suffering from severe cognitive dissonance.
People including veterans who are dependent on Social Security, Medicare, Food stamps and other government assistance are supporting politicians who are telling people they are going to demolish these same programs.
As a social, political, economic as well as military leader of the world perhaps the US has reached its salient point. The masses also do not know how to handle this situation. Even though survey upon survey have shown that about the only things we lead the world in are military spending and percentage of our citizens incarcerated. With all these fears the masses just can’t handle it all. They are grasping at straws.
It will be interesting to see how this all works out. I won’t be alive long enough to see how the historians, political scientists, and economists will view the current situation. All I can do is vote and hold on for the ride. With the cognitive dissonance of the masses rationale discussion goes nowhere.

#1116 – Dick Bernard: The Two Wolves…. A springtime reflection. And President Obama Visits Cuba.

I have always liked the oft-repeated story about the “wolves” within each of us: The Two Wolves. Which Wolf Do You Feed?
Sunday President Obama flew into Havana and is there through today. The predictable positioning takes place in the media and from the chattering political class: what he’s doing is wonderful; it is treasonous; it is too much, too soon; it is too little, too late….
You have to start somewhere.
From my perspective, “face to face” meetings of any sort are valuable in beginning or restoring relationships. They are an essential part of the process of developing, or renewing, understanding.
The longer, or more public, or broader the estrangement, the more difficult reconciliation is. The first steps are extraordinarily difficult.
In this case, the official U.S. policy since almost the beginning (1959) has been, for all intents and purposes, official hatred of an enemy.
That is why such a beginning is feared by those with a stake in having enemies to revile (It took quite awhile for the Hatfields and the McCoys to reconcile a bit, I hear. And that was just two families….)
First face-to-face meetings tend to be awkward – we all know that from personal experience.
Rachet this up to include a “no talk” policy between two countries, the U.S. and Cuba, over near 60 years, which is essentially the case with ourselves and Cuba. Almost no one knows what to say to/about each other, except to repeat the mantras of the past.**
I wish Cuba and the U.S. well.
We both have a great deal to gain.
For those interested, I offer a chapter of an old American college textbook I found at the farm which was published just after Castro came to power in 1959. I copied the chapter on Cuba, and it is here: Cuba’s History to 1963*001.
The last sentence of the Chapter on Cuba says it all: “Reflecting upon the sorry state of Cuba in 1960, the onlooker could say that two things are reasonably clear: Cuba was indeed overdue for a revolution, and revolutions are never mild and gentlemanly.”
Of course, proceedings after that revolution were not necessarily smooth.
For instance, I was a soldier in the U.S. Army during the Cuban Missile Crisis of 1962, and I know….
But 55 years of enmity is a great plenty, I would say. Kudos to the President!
This week was an awkward beginning, but it was a beginning. It takes time to build a relationship, and it has to begin somewhere. And I’m well satisfied with that.
COMMENTS:
from Alan, with permission: There is an commentary in the Star Tribune today in the editorial section from Bonnie Blodgett that I have answered:
I believe that 99.9% have no idea why the Castros threw our country out of theirs, but your article nailed it. The same mob that ran Las Vegas, and also earlier, until Tom Dewey stopped it, also ran the police and court system in New York City, and who knows where else. I have a book about a life of a man named Rothstein that you might want to read. He was very high in the mob, and even fixed a world series, which was made into a movie called 8 men out.
I was born in Hibbing and grew up in Nashwauk, MN. I had a cousin whose name was Vernon Stone, whose mother (my aunt) father (my uncle) and brother and two sisters lived in Hibbing, but Vernon didn’t live there. I never saw Vernon, and no member of the family seemed to mention him, including my father who was his uncle.
However, we were quite close to the family in Hibbing. I would guess that he was working in Vegas. Less than two years before the Castro revolution, either Life Magazine or Time Magazine did a story on Cuba that told that the mob had expanded the gambling casinos, etc. and opened up a “college” to teach the locals how to deal blackjack, etc. and who was the Professor of that “College” was none other than cousin Vernon. There is only one member of the original family, one of the sisters still living, and I will be asking her how old Vernon was when he died. He did escape from Cuba when the Castros took over and I am certain that he returned to Las Vegas. Vernon’s sister, Beattie, married a very nice man named Abe Zimmerman, and they had two children, Bob and David. The world knows my cousin, Bob.

* Source: “A History of Latin America from the Beginnings to the Present” by Hubert Herring, second edition, revised, 1963, NY: Alfred A. Knopf. “Cuba” is Chapter 26, pages 401-423.
To be clear, this is simply a chapter of an old textbook found in the detritus of an old farm. It is no more authoritative than any writing by anyone, any time. It is, however, a good basis for discussion among those with an interest in the topic of Cuba…and the United States.
** Some months ago two of us assembled the Archives of the Minnesota Alliance of Peacemakers (MAP) for the Minnesota Historical Society. I elected to keep one file, labeled “Cuba Embargo 2006-2007”.
At the time, I was President of MAP, and then member Ev Kalambokidis, representing Vets for Peace, passionately moved the agenda of restoring positive relationships with Cuba. The initial objective was to get the U.S. to support a “yes” vote when a UN Resolution came up on the “necessity of ending the economic, commercial and financial embargo imposed by the United States of America against Cuba” at the end of October, 2007.
Predictably, in 2007, the resolution passed, 184-4, with the four “no” votes, the U.S., Israel, Marshall and Palau Islands. (The most recent vote, in Dec. 2015, was 191-2, the U.S. still a “no”. The 2015 Resolutions are here Scroll down almost to the end to Resolution 42. It is very interesting reading.)
Back to 2006-07: Ev, a persistent guy, (who died Mar. 30, 2014), kept the fires burning. He kept after the issue. In March, 2007, he and I almost had an opportunity to testify to a Minnesota Senate Committee on the issue at the State Capitol (the committee meeting had to be cancelled for some reason).
But the correspondence in my file, March 28, 2007, reveals that the chair of the committee, along with others, were planning their own trip to Cuba. Even then, even Minnesota had business interests to explore with Cuba.
Change is a process; it takes time. In the case of Cuba and the U.S., change is happening.
***
FOR THOSE INTERESTED.
I enjoy international topics, and often write my own impressions on international happenings.
Jan. 1, 2015, I posted a blog about the 70th anniversary of the United Nations here.. Much to my surprise, by the end of 2015 I had posted 55 commentaries about international issues. They are all linked at the post.
International related posts at this space since Jan. 1, 2016:
1. Jan. 22, 2016: Global Climate Issue
2. Feb. 14, 2016: Lynn Elling, Warrior for Peace
3. Feb. 29, 2016: The 3rd (12th) anniversary of the Haiti coup, Feb. 29, 2004.
4. Mar. 4, 2016: Green Card Voices
5. Mar. 6, 2016: Welcoming Refugees
6. Mar. 12, 2016: Canada PM Justin Trudeau visits the White House
7. Mar. 20, 2016. The 13th anniversary of the Iraq War.
8. Mar. 22, 2016 The Two Wolves…President Obama Visits Cuba

#1113 – Dick Bernard: The Michigan Primary Election.

This election season I’ve tried to make sense of the assorted “races” in the early preliminary “wars” over who’s “winning” the election for President, 2016.
Previously, I posted about Iowa, New Hampshire, and Minnesota.
Here’s the morning after data about Michigan.
7,292,065 – Registered Voters
2,515,911 – Total Voters This, and following from official data as of 9:12 a.m. March 9, 2015)
1,322,742 – Votes for Republican candidates in the Michigan Primary
1,193,169 – Votes for Democrat candidates in the Michigan Primary
Top vote getters in Michigan, in rank order:
593,563 – Bernie Sanders
575,512 – Hillary Clinton
482,825 – Donald Trump
328,894 – Ted Cruz
320,505 – John Kasich
123,230 – Marco Rubio
There is no reason for my not doing posts about all of the primaries in all of the states. These four, Minnesota, Iowa, New Hampshire and Michigan, are particularly interesting to me, and give an opportunity to interpret “data” a bit differently than through the focused lens of “the usual suspects”, the parties, the candidates spin machines, the media political chattering class, etc. As Fox News liked to say: “I report, you decide”….
In rough terms, about one-third of those registered actually voted in Michigan yesterday; about half of the turnout voted for the major Democrat or Republican candidates. About one of twelve voted for the top vote getter.
In a few months, the stakes get much higher: there will be two major candidates for President. (Third Party groups are always a possibility but rarely effective.)
But the most important election of all, even more important than President, is who will represent us in Congress, in the U.S. Senate, in State Governor and Legislatures.
This election is far more than about just a President.
As individuals, states and nation, we eligible voters are the ones who will richly deserve what we’re going to get, good or not.

COMMENTS:
from Corky: 1/3 is sad story and you are right. We get what we deserve.
from Jeff: I am trying to read and watch less about it. It just sucks you into the “politics as entertainment “ meme, which I think is part of the reason we are , where we are. I may have reached the position that the federal form of govt we have is not suited to the current situation and historical time. Right now we have Congress really in control, the executive has been weakened, and the Supreme Court is a plaything of both sides.
from Bruce: Dick, don’t be too sure about marginality of 3rd parties this time around. With the high potential of of a Republican Party break up over Trump and the equally high probably that the Democrats will not nominate Bernie resulting in Bernie’s Revolution having to take a different path, we are looking at four possible candidates that have a genuine shot at being president.
from Fred: Like your view and that’s saying a lot. Even I can no longer guarantee what’s going to happen this fall.

#1110 – Dick Bernard: One view of one Minnesota Precinct Caucus on Super Tuesday March 1, 2016

POSTS about Michigan, Iowa and New Hampshire are accessible here. More personal comments about Minnesota are found at end of this post, for March 2 and 7, 2016.
Our Precinct Caucus was one mile from our front door.
The traffic was so heavy that it would have made more sense to walk than to drive, though it was quite chilly. I found a parking space at the very back of the farthest away lot; then came a long walk to the school, then standing in a long line snaking into Woodbury High School.
It had very much a feeling of 2008, when the choices were Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton.
There were, according to ballots for the Presidential preference, 151 people who came to our precinct, and signed in to register their preference for President.
About 50 of us (it appeared from the packed classroom) remained for the entire caucus.
Thus, two-thirds put their mark on a piece of paper and left immediately.
Our Precinct qualified for 30 delegates and 30 alternates to the next level.
13 volunteered to be delegates to the next level; no one volunteered to be alternates. Thus, if you volunteered, you were elected by consensus. No speeches were asked, or requested by candidates.
Every person could offer Resolutions on any issue.
Two of us offered Resolutions for consideration at the next level.
I was one of the two, offering resolutions from Common Cause Minnesota on three issues relating to voting and money in politics.
Another lady offered a heartfelt resolution on Water Quality. She was well prepared.
Both resolutions passed easily; both of us had to answer questions about our resolution.
The Presidential Preference in our Caucus:
85 – Bernie Sanders
66 – Hillary Clinton

The vote didn’t surprise me.
Most of those who voted left immediately, before the caucus actually convened.
The major decisions of who will be supported for President was left to those who will be delegates to at least the next level; and who will in turn select the delegates and begin the process of formally endorse the candidates for all offices at the state level.
It was a good night tonight. Too bad more didn’t come, and more didn’t stick around.
POSTNOTE 8 A.M. WEDNESDAY MARCH 2, 2016
The Minneapolis Star Tribune headlined “Sanders, Rubio score key wins at jammed party caucus sites“; the Minnesota Secretary of States showed the statewide tallies (see them here).
There was no campaigning for votes last night. In fact, the Presidential preference poll was essentially concluded before the caucus meeting began. There were no campaign speeches, and the like.
Out of curiosity, I looked up to get an idea of the number of registered voters in my Woodbury precinct in the last Presidential election. It was 2601. Our district is relatively stable in population; it is generally DFL (Democrat), though roughly an even split.
Less than 5% of the registered voters in my precinct stopped by to cast Presidential Preference ballots last night, and our caucus was heavily attended.
13 of us, perhaps one percent of the registered DFL voters, became the decision makers. We became decision makers solely because we volunteered to become delegates.
We made no speeches, we did not need to declare our Presidential preference. Our “campaign” was our willingness to raise our hands and volunteer to serve. We now become the decision makers at the next level, the Senate District Convention on April 23, where we endorse candidates for local office, consider resolutions passed at the various precincts, etc.
I volunteered for the Resolutions Committee, which can be a tedious job, sifting and sorting through assorted resolutions, some of which require some discussion to determine what they mean. But every resolution is actually looked at by real citizens, and a report goes forward to the next level.
One dominant comment, yesterday noon, before the caucuses even convened, sticks in my mind: a friend said she heard some young people being interviewed. The sentiment was Sanders for President; and what if Sanders didn’t win the nomination? Probably the choice would be Trump….
I could not think of any more opposites than these two.
But I suspect that there are more than just students who are thinking in these terms.
It’s no wonder why we’re a very troubled democracy.

SOME THOUGHTS A WEEK OUT…MARCH 7, 2016:
There were a number of comments to this post. At the time, my computer was running slow, and I couldn’t integrate them as received, but here are some afterthoughts for anyone interested.
1) Personally, I have some recurrent images from March 1
A) How important the meeting from 7-8 p.m. was (the caucus itself, about one-third of those who registered actually stayed for the entire caucus where the business of the evening was actually done.)
B) The literal stream of people I saw who left the caucus site and passed me by going to the parking lot as I was walking towards the caucus site about 6:30 p.m. They apparently came to “vote” for President, period.
C) The woman in the line waiting to get into the building who said she couldn’t believe there were this many Democrats in Woodbury. I asked her where she was from: she’d moved here from Iowa three years ago. People THINK this is a Republican stronghold, while it really isn’t. It isn’t the Republicans responsibility to point out that there are lots of Democrats in this community, and many others.
D) The young man standing off to the side as I was coming in and apparently knew me and called me “a usual suspect”. I didn’t recognize him at all. The tone of voice suggested he was an opposition observer. Anyone can come to a caucus.
2) As exemplified by 1B above, I am skeptical of any advantage to major changes in the Minnesota Caucus system in favor of a “Primary”, however devised. The political parties provide an essential function to endorse candidates and establish party platforms representing the breadth of this diverse populace. Those who came to vote only in our version of the “Straw Poll” but didn’t stay are another group, were interested only in a single office, the Presidency. Then there are the masses who just don’t bother.
I remember my learning about the impoverished country of Haiti, where the peasants were in assorted ways always denied the right to vote. When they achieved the right to vote, 90% of them did, and stood in line for many hours, enduring threats and violence.
In our educated society, we are amazed when 60% of the eligible voters vote for President (with lower percentages voting for the other candidates).
3) A comment came from a former colleague of mine, both of us had been involved in many organizing election campaigns. He uttered an organizing truism: “don’t peak too soon”. Of course, there’s a corollary: “don’t peak too late”. Single events, like the caucus, are important, but the successful campaign “plans its work, and works its plan”.
4) I remembered a key learning from long ago: stay on the offense; if you get trapped into being on the defensive, you’re losing. Donald Trump is masterful on going on the offense. It is easy to stay on the offense. You just have to decide to do it. Of course, a synonym for offense is offensive…there are problems with that, too.
5) Caveat Emptor: Karl Rove perfected the black art of making an opponents positive into a negative. This reared its ugly head in the John Kerry campaign in 2004, when decorated Vietnam war veteran John Kerry was “swift-boated”, successfully.
The same kind of tactic has become institutionalized: for example, Hillary Clinton’s extensive experience in policy making is made to be a liability. She was Senator from a large State, New York, of which New York City is a major part, and U.S. Secretary of State, not to mention First Lady of the U.S. for eight years, and all of these are made to be liabilities…because she was elected to represent the immense diversity of her state and our nation on the world stage.
And Hillary is a strong woman, and it is my sad observation over many years, that many women seem to resent stronger appearing women…. Her being a woman is cast as a liability…probably even among many women.
And it is a near certainty (my opinion) that many of the anti-Hillary talking points embraced by too many of the progressive left were planted by the right-wing propaganda apparatus.
6) There is a distressing inclination in our country to hold the President, and only the President, accountable, while ignoring the impact of the Congress, whose members we also elect, and can effectively throttle any President (see #5, again). Republican Presidents are sainted, whatever their faults; Democrat Presidents are demonized from the get-go.
Some years ago, for my own information, I did a graphic to represent the reality of Congress-President 1977-2013. You can view it here:US Congress 1977-2013001. A useful graphic from 1855 to present day is here.
If there is a demon in today’s American politics, it is the right wing hatred of the very government it seeks to control.
7) In the long term – in the case of election 2016 from now till November – I think my party, the Democrats (DFL) are best served by focusing on positive leadership, rather than negative positioning. I think the oft-cited “American people” want good government and appreciate things that are accomplished for the common good…and it has been the Democrats who have championed these goals.
But, that’s just my opinion.
My choice for President? Hillary Clinton, with Bernie Sanders for Vice-President…. here

#1109 – Dick Bernard: Leap Year, Feb. 29, 2004. Haiti revisited.

December 6-13, 2003, I made my first visit to Haiti. There were a half-dozen of us in a group led by Paul Miller. I knew little about Haiti. We spent our time in Port-au-Prince visiting assorted persons, idealists all, enthusiasts for democracy, who were allied with the cause of then-President Jean-Bertrand Aristide.
There was a sense of tension, though not worrisome, when we arrived.
Storm clouds intensified during the last days of our visit. At least one person we had met had been killed a day or two after we met him at a school; we had possibly heard the gunshots as we drove in the vicinity of the Presidential Palace.
But all in all it was a great learning week, about the Haiti and Haitians we hadn’t known before.
Towards the end I asked our host if I could get some Haitian money to take home with me, and he accommodated me with 100 newly minted Haitian 10-Gourdes notes (approx value, to my recollection, $20 or so.) Then and now these notes represent the optimism of a nation about to celebrate its bicentennial of freedom; of breaking the chains of slavery.
(click to enlarge)

10 Gourdes notes, Haiti, December, 2003

10 Gourdes notes, Haiti, December, 2003


Back home, we watched those storm clouds build quickly, and early in the morning of February 29, 2004, leap day, 12 years ago today, President Aristide and family were spirited out of Haiti to the Central African Republic, very certainly the victims of a coup orchestrated by the United State Government with the active support of the French and Canadian governments as well.
People we met had fled, been imprisoned, or killed. And it was our own countries doing.
I remember hearing at the time that the timing of the coup was deliberate.
Haiti had just celebrated the bicentennial of its Declaration of Independence from France; and in this case, Feb. 29, 2004, it would be difficult to annually remember the destruction of Haiti’s experiment with democracy during the years of Aristide.
Now it’s twelve years later, and while I still have an interest in Haiti, I don’t follow it daily, as I did then.
But sometimes it is good to review the past, and to see what was gained, or lost in the time after we squelched democracy in our little neighbor just east of Florida.
For those interested, I offer a few personal and very modest attempts at the U.S.-Haiti history over the past few years.
My offerings about Haiti (all accessible here). Putting “Haiti” in the searchbox at this blog will find additional articles.
It is my hope that we always remember Haiti, still impoverished; still dominated by our government (which is, by the way, not simply a person…but rather an entire institution with a very long history of keeping Haiti as a subordinate state.
For me, back in my advocacy years for Haiti, this included a single anonymous person at the Haiti desk at the State Department; some invisible functionaries at U.S. Agency for International Development and Department of Defense; the public but very shadowy National Endowment for Democracy and its Republican and Democrat arms, etc.) Even the United Nations was complicit. Of course, the U.S. is the dominant state within the United Nations.
Haiti remains one of the poorest and by extension most oppressed countries in the world. Once in awhile it deserves a spotlight, and a look back.
My summary: Haiti is still very poor. The reflex response of Americans seems to be “it’s the Haitians problem”. It is a simple response, from my own experience, that’s not at all a merited response.
We created and we sustain what we see, there, today.
I like the phrase I heard back then, “Start Seeing Haiti”.

#1106 – Dick Bernard: Hillary and Bernie (or, is it Bernie and Hillary?)

Cathy and I were among 4,000 people who heard Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders each give long speeches in person at the Annual Minnesota DFL (Democrat Farmer Labor) Party Humphrey-Mondale dinner Friday night, February 12.
Here are their bios, as printed in the program booklet: Hillary & Bernie 2-12-16001
Both candidates were respectfully and enthusiastically received. (The snapshots below were taken by myself, and are “screen shots”, such as they are. We were halfway back in the very large hall, and screens were the only way to see the speakers.
(click to enlarge)

Bernie Sanders, St. Paul MN, Feb 12, 2016

Bernie Sanders, St. Paul MN, Feb 12, 2016


Hillary Clinton, St. Paul MN, Feb 12, 2016

Hillary Clinton, St. Paul MN, Feb 12, 2016


Minnesota Senators Amy Klobuchar and Al Franken, and Governor Mark Dayton, all publicly endorsed Hillary Clinton to the gathering. Cong. Keith Ellison, also a speaker, has endorsed Bernie Sanders.
The comportment of all the speakers was very polite. I noted only one comment that I thought might be a “zinger” aimed at Hillary Clinton by Bernie Sanders. But it was a brief throwaway line, off the cuff, and probably few noticed. It related to the teleprompter on stage. Clinton had been campaigning in South Carolina earlier in the day; Sanders had been in the Twin Cities. On grueling campaign days, it can be understood that there is need for “cue cards”: which local people to speak about, how to pronounce their names, etc. (I remember a comment made about the long-time U.S. Senator William Langer of North Dakota. On the campaign trail, he’d come to a small town parade, and ask his local aide for the name of someone on the other side of the street, and then go across and deal with the individual on a first name basis, like a long lost best friend. A good tactic.)
Someone at my table noted that both candidates tended to look towards their right. This was the side where the cameras were. The candidates were there to speak to us; but great attention was obviously paid to the media, who would select what photos to use, and what quotes to publicize in last nights 10:00 news, or today’s paper.
Those of us in the hall had the unique privilege to see the entirety of both speeches and all ancillary videos, music and other speakers. The “news” version is always highly compressed. Mostly, most of us get the “news” version.
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In the previous couple of days, friend Jeff sent along the below two items which I find are very interesting, assessing the now 7 years of the Obama administration.
1. A video Chicago Tribune conversation with President Obama and several of his former colleagues in the Illinois legislature.
2. The Nation He Built.
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Personally, it is no secret that I first expressed a preference for Hillary Clinton at the DFL caucuses in early Feb. 2008. She was then, and even more so now, an extraordinarily competent candidate, very well prepared to lead this country in these extraordinarily complex times.
In 2008, after Barack Obama gained the Democratic nomination, I strongly supported him, and I still do. His Secretary of State for the first four years of his term was Hillary Clinton; these last few years, John Kerry has admirably filled the role of Secretary of State.
All these folks have made a quantitative and lasting and very positive difference in this country.
That is why, in my opinion, these Democrat candidates are both feared and hated by the denizens of the most radical right wing.
I have had zero reason to change my mind about the positive qualities of Obama and Clinton.
Of course, there are other assessments in this “blood sport” of politics, from the right, and, ironically, from elements of the far left.
Saul Alinsky called such strategies now employed by both left and right against Hillary as, “personalize, polarize and publicize”, and I think the left is being manipulated (and provided with ammunition) by those on the radical right who most aggressively hate and fear Hillary Clinton.
If Bernie’s candidacy stays strong, the attacks will escalate against him. It is how the political process (unfortunately, in my opinion) works.
*
Bernie and Hillary made powerful positive impressions last night.
Bernie looked and sounded tired: he is a year younger than I am, and going full bore at age 74, which he is, and will have to continue for at least the next many months, has to be extraordinarily difficult.
Cathy and I spent 7 hours of engagement yesterday to hear those two long speeches last night.
It will take a while to recover from last night. And for my age, I think I am a relatively high-energy person.
The President of the United States is the most complex and demanding position one could imagine. A relevant question, I think: could Bernie handle the demands?
Hillary Clinton for President.
I think Bernie Sanders would be an excellent choice for Vice-President when the time comes.
COMMENTS:
from Catherine:
Yes to Hillary.
from Bruce: Unfortunately HRC is not a good candidate. She is her own worst enemy as her 2008 campaign attests to. She doesn’t seem to have learned much from that failed experienced this time around either. As for Bernie, age is a problem. The pace is only going to get faster. Whether he can handle it remains to be seen. In my opinion, Bernie is a gift from god to the Democrats. He’s become the voice of a movement that both the Clinton Campaign & the DNC are blind to. The same can be said for Trump on the Republican side. The difference between the two is the difference between Obi-Wan Kenobi & Darth Vader in STAR WARS. I don’t think Hillary can defeat Trump, if Trump is their nominee, but Bernie can. Bernie’s support is not Democratic once he’s gone so are they & many of them will end up with Trump. I hope the Democrats don’t look that gift in the mouth. Here is an excellent piece. The videos in it are powerful.
from Carol: I agree with Bruce about Hillary. They both have their drawbacks (Hillary isn’t a “spring chicken” either, you know…) I’m impressed with the support from young people for Bernie. The attitude toward Hillary seems to be that she represents the past instead of the future, dynasties and all that, and maybe we’re not all that happy about 4 (or 8) more years of Bill. Yes, young people are more idealistic than practical. But remember, they put Obama in office.
Frankly, I swing back and forth about once a day in whom I will vote for… I think the bottom line is that if either Trump or Cruz is their opponent, we need to have chosen the one who can win. I’ve been kind of monitoring online postings on one website. It’s surprising the number of Republicans who say if Trump is on the ticket, they will consider voting for Bernie – but never for Hillary.
I seriously think if Trump is ever in the White House, it will be the end of our country as we know it. He’s already done an incredible amount of damage along the way. We have talked about leaving the country in that case, and we’re not alone.
But either Hillary or Bernie is w-a-y better than what the Republicans have put forth as their “cream of the crop.”
from SAK in England: In an earlier email you suggest that one of the remaining 9 candidates MAY win . . . are you suggesting that there might be a third (independent) candidate with a chance. Let us say the Democrats & Republicans field candidates D & R while a third independent candidate I is also in the running. Assuming D gets 40%, R gets 35% and I gets 25% of the electorate – hence none has an overall majority. The way I understand it is the House then decides who is to be the next president. The House belonging mostly to the famous 1% would pick the independent candidate especially if he were a successful rich businessman with Republican leanings. Is this correct & what are the implications for democracy when the candidate with least electoral votes becomes president!? Any precedents?
Response from Dick: The American electoral system can be confusing. There have been Independent candidates who’ve gotten quite a few votes. For example Ross Perot back in the time when Bill Clinton won over George H.W. Bush in 1992. Perot got a lot of votes, but no electoral votes. The U.S. system of electoral votes by state mitigates strongly against any minority party being any more than a nuisance. There may be a situation in modern history where a minority candidate even received an electoral vote. I don’t know of any.
I think the election situation today is such that most anything can happen, particularly at the Republican Convention in coming months. It is theoretically possible that the convention could nominate “none of the above”, favoring someone else. It’s far too early to guess at such a scenario, in the unlikely event it happens, but it could. The Convention will decide on the candidate if there is a deadlock within the Convention. It is highly unlikely that such a deadlock would occur within the Democrat Convention this year. There are, to my knowledge, no viable minority parties this year. Michael Bloomberg has threatened to run as an independent and could self-finance. Stay tuned!
from John: Isn’t this interesting? I watched the Republicans last night, They reminded me of little boys who think they rule.
I feel the Bern! When I was 18 years old I knew I was a democratic socialist. I have drifted both left and right as I grow and evolve.
Where you look at things from, determines what is seen.
And then, Is not the whole political thing reflective of our existing mass consciousness?
Let the clown show go on, and bring on the snake charmers, the three eyed man, the caged lion and the Cotton Candy vendor.
What are thinking people thinking? How will this all end? I’ll be at the DFL caucus, and my heart is with Bernie!
from Madeline: Dick, are you familiar with the following articles? here, here, here and here.
I am saddened by Clinton’s compromising before even starting a negotiation for change, which makes her small, and why Obama beat her in 2008; and her record of being party to what has probably cost a great deal more loss of life, such as in sabotaging Kofi Annon’s attempt at negotiating a peace for Syria; and supporting US-led “regime change” militarism.
I can’t seem to find where I found this, but some also argue Sanders is trying to bring the Democratic party back to its pre-Carter support for a more fair distribution of wealth–which has always been the best for the economy, while later Democrats & Bill Clinton have deregulated Wall Street, and increased poverty with “welfare reform.”
She has done remarkably well in a “good old boy” dominated world, and even if not perfect, as no one is, has had to be intelligent and tough to survive. I think she deserves some credit, and has experiences that prepare her well for the presidency, actually better than all the rest.
I’d like to support Clinton, and will if she gets the nomination, and know we would have to push her to do the right things if elected. I’d like to support her as the first woman president of the US.
I fervently hope that Sanders can physically survive the rigors of the campaign and the presidency if he is elected. I, at 72, wouldn’t dare take the risk, even though I am also healthy.
from Dick: Comment on Comments Feb. 17, 2016: None of the comments either surprise or upset me. In fact, one of the main reasons for printing my post is to encourage readers to give serious attention to their own reasons for favoring one or the other (doubtless the same could be said for the dwindling group of Republican contenders, but this is about Hillary and Bernie.)
Personally, I like Bernie. I also think that Hillary’s biggest liability is also her greatest strength to lead this country: being President of the United States is far more than standing for something. It is much more the art of forging agreements among very disparate opinions and beliefs. Last Friday somebody, maybe Hillary, essentially defined the dilemma: Progress is a Process. Too many opinion leaders, far left and far right, have a vision of controlling the agenda. It doesn’t work that way.
By accident, mostly, my worklife almost entirely was devoted to representing teachers in a teacher union in a state with collective bargaining. I worked for a state organization (I had a boss), represented local teachers in dealings with local school boards.
I was first and foremost an organizer. I never called myself that, but that is what I was. Others can say if I did things correctly or not, or made any difference, or created more problems than I solved…. I just tried to do the job I was faced with.
In a position like mine, the odds were almost certain that everything had to be negotiated. I had to deliver state or national priorities to locals who might feel differently about those priorities. In locals, before the first collective bargaining session, the local had to hammer out what it wanted to ask for, which was no easy matter: elementary teachers have differing priorities from high school teachers; coaches, special education, on and on. People on the bargaining teams could and did have vigorous arguments at all stages of the process.
And then, when you got to actually bargaining against a school board, an entirely new and different set of dynamics presented itself, depending to a large extent on who happened to be on the school board at the time.
Nothing was ever easy.
That is basically what moves me to support people best equipped to serve in positions where nothing is ever “right” to everyone.
First, the person with the ideals has to be elected by a majority of the electoral votes from the 50 states; then the task becomes accomplishing some goals against an often aggressive opposition, as we have constantly experienced in the time of Obama.
The debate at this point in the process is good.
Sooner or later, the reality will set in. Bernie knows it, Hillary, and all the rest, know it too.
Keep Talking.

#1105 – Dick Bernard: The New Hampshire Primary…and us.

After the Iowa caucuses I posted, here, an unconventional look at the data.
Every state has different procedures for selecting their delegates to the national political conventions, so New Hampshire’s Primary processes are different, though you could hardly tell from the endless (and conflicting) analyses about what the results from each state meant. Each party in every state has their own procedures for electing delegates and deciding on priorities from the first citizen gatherings till the end of the State Conventions.
Below, best as I can tell, are the vote totals by candidate in New Hampshire on Tuesday, Feb 9. Here they are, beginning with the total number of registered voters in New Hampshire. I do not list party designation of the candidates. If you are reading this, you know who’s who.
882,959 New Hampshire Registered Voters as of Feb. 5, 2016
151,584 Bernie Sanders (15 delegates)
100,406 Donald Trump (10 delegates)
95,252 Hillary Clinton (9 delegates)
44,909 John Kasich (11 delegates)
33,189 Ted Cruz
31,310 Jeb Bush
30,032 Marco Rubio
21,069 Chris Christie (withdrew after Feb 10)
11,706 Carly Fiorina (withdrew after Feb 10)
6,509 Ben Carson
1,900 Rand Paul (withdrew earlier)
643 Martin O’Malley
215 Mike Huckabee (withdrew earlier)
155 Rick Santorum (withdrew earlier)
133 Jim Gilmore
353,947 (40 % of potential voters didn’t vote.)
And the New Hampshire Primary turnout was reported as huge.
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As the New Hampshire State Data (link above) reports: “Registered Voters as of February 5, 2016 | 231,376 Democratic | 262,111 Republican | 389,472 Undeclared | TOTAL 882,959”
Whatever your bias; whoever your “favorite”, these numbers tell a story, especially for the persons – perhaps a majority – whose preference for this candidate or that is absolute, as are his or her demands of that candidate.
And this is for only a single office, President of the United States, whose election is still nine months, and an infinite number of variables, away.
What about your Congressperson; your Senator? These are, as we know, crucial actors on the national stage.
Do you know who represents you at all levels, local and state? Do they know you exist? If you support them, how have you shown that support?
As to the Presidency, one of those nine remaining candidates MAY win in November, and will be expected to represent everyone. Our Republic, our Democracy, is not “winner take all”, regardless of how much some of us would wish that to be so…if our candidate were to win.
Each of us is one of 323,000,000. And lest we forget, we are only part of a much larger world.
What will you do between now and election day, November 8?

#1103 – Dick Bernard: The Iowa Primaries and Ourselves

Only one piece of data interested me related to the just completed Iowa Caucuses:
How many people participated in those caucuses?

A day after the caucus, a news program briefly flashed the numbers:
Republican: about 186,000
Democrat: about 171,000
A quick search of the Iowa Secretary of State data base shows Iowa with 2,090,298 registered voters as of January 4, 2016.
Therefore, roughly 12% of Iowa’s eligible voters, roughly half Republican, and half Democrat, showed up for those caucuses on Monday night…before the bad weather entered the scene.
88% couldn’t be bothered to attend.
The most successful candidates in Iowa, Republican and Democrat, garnered a very small fraction of the total potential vote.
Three of the twelve Republican candidates each received roughly 25% of the Republican vote. The winner received 27%.
Two of the three Democrat candidates evenly split over 99% of the Democrat vote. The winner won two more delegates than the loser.
Here is more for the armchair analysts.
(Iowa is a small state, population wise: 2015 est. 3,123,899. Minnesota is average among the 50 states, with roughly two percent of the U.S. population: 5,489,594.)
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Every state has different procedures for their own primaries, or caucuses.
In Iowa, the Republicans had a different procedure than the Democrats.
The process makes no difference. All that matters: only those who showed up in Iowa – only one of eight potential voters – are the only ones who were counted in the first, and crucial, action of the rest of the journey to the elections in November.
The rest didn’t even bother to come to the game, though most could have participated.
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I’m a regular at caucuses. The above data is pretty typical, I’d say. New Hampshire, South Carolina, etc., will not be that much different. Or Minnesota. Regardless of political party.
In Minnesota, our caucuses are Tuesday, March 1. At those community meetings the citizens who attend will elect the delegates who will participate in the political process ultimately leading to the nomination of their candidate for President of the United States, and many other offices. They’ll debate resolutions on this or that issue that will go forward to become a part of a party platform. Every State, each party, has its own process. I’m Minnesotan. Here’s Minnesota’s.
Folks have to show up to have any say at all.
Those who can, but don’t, show up disenfranchise themselves.
Get familiar with your states process, and show up, well informed, for every election.

COMMENTS:
from Carol in Minnesota:
And the really sad thing is they had record turnout. However (speaking of the Republican slate), when there’s nobody worth voting for…
“Only one piece of data interested me” – The one piece of data that interested me a lot was that Trump LOST. Hooray for those Iowans for finally pricking a hole in his hot air balloon!
from SAK, in England: It’s a strange system but I suppose it aims at reaching the grassroots? The data you provide, especially voter participation is truly shocking. With so much at stake & voters obviously wanting a change on both sides of the divide how come so few bother to show up!?
Here’s how the BBC sees it.
The world is become more unequal across the board but some are more unequal than others – according to the Financial Times/OECD which can’t be accused of leftism! [I am unable to share this link, which essentially shows vastly disproportionate and increasing wealth gaps in a few countries, particularly the U.S.]
You are not recommending a candidate yet!?
from Dick, in response to last sentence: Stay tuned, at this space, in a couple of weeks or so, I’ll announce to the world my preference, with rationale.
As to the BBC post, Why are the Americans so angry?”, I think the data, from living a now 75 year life-time in the U.S., is that things like the Iowa caucus portray a false “reality” about people in the U.S. My own mini-analysis, above, is that the Iowa caucuses “catch the wave” of the fringes, both left and right. Bad news is, over here, and perhaps also everywhere else as well, more “interesting” than good news, where people are being charitable towards others, going to work, figuring out how to compromise with people they disagree with, etc. In this sense, who Americans are, and what America is, are not conveyed by the telescreen, which dominates the visible conversation a la George Orwell’s 1984, the 1949 vision of utopia gone mad.
(Recently, we visited “Blue Hawaii”, our paradise state, and I was intrigued by the evening news there, focusing on a dispute over trash pickup in a neighborhood, the usual catastrophic accident on some freeway, and the like. Here we were, next door to Waikiki Beach in a fancy hotel. If we had been marooned in that hotel room, and had only the television as a source of information, we would have been certain that Hawaii was a disaster!)
from Ruth: Good blog!
Seems to me that it’s good that the DFL [Minnesota Democrat Farmer Labor Party] is so generous with delegates. It’s much harder for special interests to take over an open system than a restricted one. However, low participation also invites takeovers by unrepresentative groups. Antiabortion forces tried to take the DFL in the 70’s, but were never able to take more than their percentage in the general population (about one third). There were about 100,000 attending DFL caucuses in those days.
GOP caucuses were very poorly attended, with the few delegate slots going to long-time activists, and the antiabortion folks were able to take over almost completely, and we lost many moderate Republicans from public service.
I’m hoping that Bernie will bring lots of new people to the caucuses and that we can get some of them engaged in the process.
The Occupy movement in Spain set up local meetings to try to arrive at a national agenda. Our caucus system offers that channel. I wish the resolution structure were more open even if it occasionally embarrasses the powers-that-be.

#1101 – Dick Bernard: Iowa and what follows: Revisiting 1984.

Next Tuesday is the first Presidential Primary, at the Iowa caucuses. They will be as they will be, as they were in 2012, and 2008, and so on. Then will be New Hampshire, and South Carolina, and Super Tuesday…. If one turns on the telescreen, it is impossible to not know about these elections, even if they are only local snapshots, many months from the main event.
Out of curiosity I looked up the Iowa caucuses for 2008 and 2012. As you’ll note, in 2008 the Presidential Republican and Democrat winners were Mike Huckabee and Barack Obama; in 2012, Rick Santorum and Barack Obama.
2016?
This seems to be the year that will prove that George Orwell had it right when he published 1984 in the late 1940s: people are easily manipulated, and control of visual media is the key.
A word about the “telescreen”, which more and more dominates the political conversation, in a moment.
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As I write, Donald Trump is still the Republican front-runner. Of course, this can change in an instant, but….
We recently took a vacation in Hawaii which began with two nights in a higher end hotel on Waikiki Beach.
Sixteen year old Ryan, our grandson was along, and our first item of business was to take him Pearl Harbor, the USS Arizona, and all of that.
We arrived late at night, and the next morning walked directly across the street to find something to eat before catching the tour bus. Ryan saw a sign on a building that he became somewhat fixated on: it was a Trump Tower. It was probably Ryan’s first photograph in Hawaii. “Trump” impressed. You can read and see about the Waikiki Trump here.
The Trump property was certainly not a homeless shelter. Ours was the building that was the “one building off of Waikiki Beach” that interfered with sight lines of the beach and the ocean from the Trump Properties on the lower floors of the building.
Donald Trumps base support, his fans, seem much closer to the homeless shelter, than to owning a condo in any of his towers.
Go figure.
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Tomorrow night are the final debates before Iowa. Trump has declared he won’t show up, which hardly anybody believes. You can read a lot of the buzs about this here.
Actually, Trump reminds me a lot of a local professional wrestler who became Minnesota Governor in 1998: Jesse Ventura.
Ventura was some of the time, and in some ways, a fairly decent Governor…so long as he had his way. He knew how to maintain star status.
He didn’t run for a second term, didn’t support the party which gave him the public legs to run on in the first place, and was, as a satirical novel about him, “Me“, suggested, only about himself.
Trump is Jesse on steroids.
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Of course, Trump may not “win” next Tuesday. Somebody else may dominate.
Iowa will be over, then there’s New Hampshire, and South Carolina, and Super Tuesday….
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But through it all is the tellyscreen, which was really the star of the show in 1984, will dominate, a purchased by megabucks available for political advertising of all kinds.
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For Orwell, the telescreen was everywhere, and controlled what people saw and, as a bonus, reported back everything that they were doing.
We have essentially reached that point, now, in the U.S. We have become mesmerized by visual media; and anyone who thinks they can escape being recorded by someone with a camera, and reported, has scarcely a grip on reality.
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Next Tuesday is the first demonstration of American Democracy in action, in Iowa. About nine months from now, local, state and national leaders will be elected by “we, the people”, by our action…or inaction.
What will we see when we wake up the morning after Tuesday, November 8.
The ball is in OUR court. What will we do with this responsibility.
POSTNOTE:
To my knowledge, George Orwell really never got around to explaining what motivated him to do 1984. The book was published in 1949 and he died in 1950, at age 47.
It was published not long after WWII ended.
I’ve heard it said that it was a cautionary tale about the evils of Nazi Germany and its mastery of manipulation of the masses, or of the totalitarian regime of the Soviet Union. Perhaps he was observing radical socialists in his home country of England.
Novelists really never say. It is for others to do their interpretation.
In the book, we never see Big Brother, who’s in charge of it all. We’re not even sure that Big Brother even exists.
It causes me to think of the leadership of today’s ISIL (ISIS). Most of us, without research, wouldn’t even be able to name the leader(s) of that short term attempt at domination; nor could we identify its capital city. It in itself has created a new world.
But in the end, it was the “Proles” I paid attention to in the book. I presume this meant “proletariat” the common people of the time, basically portrayed as clueless (if they were smart), or enemies (if they had the stupidity to be outspoken).
In my interpretation, the big resource for presumptive leaders that 1984 emphasized were the values of fear, and of having an invisible enemy.
It would be my bet that Orwells work has been a pretty persuasive teacher for many who wish to exert control.